Is KM dying, alive and well, or on life support? Let's bring some data into the debate (this post updated based on further data).
The debate about the health of KM is a perennial topic, with people variously claiming "KM is dead", "KM is alive and well" or "KM is on life support". The item commonly missing in these claims is hard data; people instead going on their impressions, or on the bold claim of a replacement for KM that overthrows its older rival.
I have tried my best to bring some hard data into it, such as the apparent accelerating start-up rate of organisations, taken from the Knoco survey data (the counter-argument to which might be that more recent entrants to the KM game are more likely to have responded to the survey).
Here are some more data.
3 years ago I did a survey within LinkedIn, looking at the number of people in different countries with "Knowledge" in their job title (or or Conocimiento, or Connaissance, or Kennis, etc etc depending on language). From this I concluded that there are probably about 32,000 knowledge managers in the world, with the greatest concentration in Switzerland and the Netherlands, and the lowest concentration in Russia and Brazil.
This survey is easy to repeat, and to compare the number of people now with Knowledge or its equivalent in their job title, with the number of people then. The results for the top 10 countries in terms of search results are shown in the figure above and the table below.
total K people 2014 | total K people 2017 | |
USA |
10483
|
12494
|
UK |
3431
|
3989
|
India |
3244
|
4228
|
Canada |
1736
|
2000
|
Netherlands |
1656
|
1988
|
Australia |
1105
|
1388
|
Spain |
820
|
788
|
France |
803
|
1000
|
Brazil |
733
|
988
|
In every case the number of people with a Knowledge job title has increased, but about 26%.
However the number of people from those countries on linkedin has also increased (thanks to Mahomed Nazir for pointing this out).
If we look at the number of people with Knowledge in their job title as a percentage of LinkedIn users, then things change, as the population of LinkedIn has grown a lot over the last few years. The figures below represent the number of people from a particular country with Knowledge or its translation in their job title, per million LinkedIn unsers from that country.
K people per million LinkedIn users 2014 | total K people per million LinkedIn users 2017 | |
USA |
101
|
97
|
UK |
214
|
181
|
India |
130
|
101
|
Canada |
174
|
157
|
Netherlands |
325
|
331
|
Australia |
184
|
174
|
Spain |
128
|
143
|
France |
97
|
107
|
Brazil |
41
|
33
|
Here some countries have seen a fall in the percentage of people with a Knowledge job title, others have seen a rise. On average, numbers have fallen by 6%.
So in conclusion, over the last 3 years, the number of people with Knowledge etc as a job title on LinkedIn has increased by 26%, but this becomes a 6% decline in percentage terms if you allow for the overall population growth of LinkedIn.
Is this the death of KM? Unlikely.
Could it be a slow decline? Possibly.
I think we need to collect more data like this over a longer time period, and see if any trends continue.
1 comment:
This post has been updated in 2020 - https://www.nickmilton.com/2020/01/how-many-knowledge-managers-are-there.html
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